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Logistics

Chapter 6

The logistics segment has matured considerably as an asset class amongst investors in recent years. Ever increasing e-commerce sales, the freight crisis, geopolitical tensions and increased risk in the global value chains help further underpin the segment’s attractiveness.

European logistics and industrial property as a proportion of total transaction volumes has risen from around 10 percent to 20 percent in the past decade, according to figures from JLL. The same trend can be observed in Norway. Domestic and international figures both show an abundance of capital in search of logistics property, and transactions worth NOK 3.8 billion have been recorded in Q1 this year in the logistics segment. This is slightly higher than in the same period last year.

Transaction volumes (billion) YTD 2022 / 2021

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As a result of increased risk in global value chains, many logistics companies have changed their warehousing strategies in an attempt to mitigate the consequences of product shortages and delivery delays. Many firms are now seeking to stock greater volumes of raw materials throughout the value chain and store more of their finished goods closer to the end users. One direct consequence of this risk aversion is a growing need and demand for warehousing space. More information about the freight crisis and its impact on logistics property can be found in the February edition of our monthly analysis product “Innsyn & Utsyn”.

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There is a high level of activity in the rental market along with high demand for the most central and attractive logistics hubs in the Oslo region. These hubs have very low vacancy rates and have seen a considerable rise in rents in recent times, with rents topping out at NOK 1,400 for large warehouses (>10,000 sq. m.) in the most sought-after areas. Smaller premises nearer the city centre can achieve even higher rents. The emergence of last-mile logistics in the larger cities has done much to push up rents in strategic locations, and in some parts in eastern Oslo we are witnessing higher warehouse rents than office rents. We expect the positive logistics trend to continue, thus pushing up rents even further.

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Prime yield

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Prime rent, NOK

NB: In Norwegian.

NB: In Norwegian.

Rental price range in various logistics areas. Click on the areas to see the rental price range (NOK / m2)

Ecoregion, Map, World, Font

Groruddalen

1500 – 2000

Gardermoen

900 – 1100

Gjelleråsen

1000 – 1300

Asker/Bærum

900 – 1300

Liertoppen

1000 – 1400

Vestby

750 - 950

Drammen

800 – 1250

Berger/Fjellbo

1200 – 1400

Lørenskog

1200 – 1400

Oslo Sør

1200 – 1400

Kløfta

1100 – 1300

Vinterbro

1100 - 1300

Langhus

1200 – 1400

Lindeberg

1000 – 1200

Ski

1100 – 1300

Røyken

700 – 950

Leiepris-intervall i ulike logistikkområder. Totalt logistikkareal er ~5,3 millioner m2.

1400 – 1700

1200 – 1400

700 – 1300

Ecoregion, Map, World

Groruddalen

1400 – 1700

Lindeberg

1000 – 1200

Gardermoen

800 – 1050

Gjelleråsen

1000 – 1300

Asker/Bærum

900 – 1300

Liertoppen

900 – 1200

Vestby

700 – 950

Røyken

700 – 950

Langhus/Ski

900 – 1350

Drammen

800 – 1250

Berger

1200 – 1400

Lørenskog

1200 – 1400

Oslo Sør

1200 – 1400

NB: In Norwegian.

Prime leie, NOK

Prime yield, prosent

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Logistics prime yield, percent

Proportion of total transaction volume, percent

Andel logistikktransaksjoner av det totale transaksjonsvolumet – andel 2022 kommer

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